What Does "A 50% Chance of Rain" Actually Mean?

The video explains the concept of probability of precipitation in weather forecasts, detailing how it is calculated using a formula involving confidence and area. It highlights inconsistencies among meteorologists in interpreting this probability and the challenges in predicting weather accurately. The video emphasizes that a low chance of rain does not mean the forecast is wrong if it rains, as weather prediction is inherently complex.

Why might different meteorologists calculate the probability of precipitation differently?

What should you understand if the forecast says a 10% chance of rain and it rains?