Nomura Points Out Nine 'Gray Swans' to Watch for in 2019

The video discusses Nomura's predictions for the coming year, focusing on three main themes: the end of populism, an Italian Renaissance, and a potential market quake. The end of populism is explored through the lens of recent political shifts in the US and UK. The Italian Renaissance is considered in terms of economic growth and fiscal stimulus, despite European constraints. Finally, the market quake is highlighted as a significant risk, with potential impacts on global markets, particularly in China.

What is the nature of the risks discussed in Nomura's predictions?

• They are independent and may not align.

• They are guaranteed to happen.

• They are based on past events.

• They are all consistent with each other.

What is a sign that populist movements might be losing strength in the US?

• Trump has gained more support.

• Trump has lost the House.

• Populist parties are gaining momentum.

• Brexit has been fully supported.

How does the prediction of an Italian Renaissance suggest Italy could stimulate growth?

• By cutting government spending.

• By reducing exports.

• By increasing taxes.

• Through fiscal stimulus.

What is the potential consequence of the market quake prediction?

• A stable market environment.

• A significant market implosion.

• Increased market leverage.

• A rise in populist movements.

Which market is particularly highlighted in the market quake prediction?

• The Indian market.

• The US market.

• The Chinese market.

• The European market.