Sullivan: Pro-Risk Stocks & Commodities

The video discusses the US monetary policy and its global implications, highlighting the US's unique position with a restrictive monetary policy. It analyzes market trends, predicting potential movements in the S&P 500 and recession risks. The impact of the US dollar on emerging markets and commodities is explored, with a focus on agriculture and oil. Investment strategies are discussed, emphasizing cyclicals and regional markets like ASEAN. Finally, challenges in China's property and tech sectors are examined, with insights into subsector performance.

What is the expected monetary policy stance of the US by the end of the year?

• Accommodative monetary policy

• Restrictive monetary policy

• Expansionary monetary policy

• Neutral monetary policy

What is the current risk of recession priced into the US equity markets?

• 70%

• 50%

• 30%

• 90%

Which sector has been the best performing thematic basket for JP Morgan year-to-date?

• Technology

• Finance

• Healthcare

• Agriculture

Which markets are expected to benefit from supply chain redistribution?

• European markets

• Middle Eastern markets

• North American markets

• ASEAN markets

What percentage of China's economic growth has been driven by construction and property in recent years?

• 30-40%

• 40-50%

• 20-30%

• 10-20%

Which subsectors in Chinese tech are expected to recover faster?

• Cloud computing and AI

• Fintech and blockchain

• Social media and gaming

• Food delivery and e-commerce

What is a key factor for outperformance in the China Internet space?

• Cost-cutting measures

• Subsector selection

• Increased advertising

• Regulatory compliance