FUTURES THINKING & SCENARIO PLANNING

When a leader wants to know the external and internal factors affecting his/her organization, s/he does an analysis called:

• PESTLE Analysis

• TOWS Matrix Analysis

• SWOT Analysis

• Scenario Planning

When a leader consider this question; “ Can we offer products that our

customers want that our competitors cannot provide?”. Then s/he is looking at:

• Opportunities

• Strengths

• Weaknesses

• Threats

In 2000 onwards, the world moved from a comfortable global environment to the ……………………….. world.

• BANI world

• VUCA world

• Robotics world

• Digital Transformation world

The following are the steps to Scenario Planning:

• Identify Driving Forces > Identify Critical Uncertainties > Develop Plausible

  Scenarios > Discuss Implications and Paths

• Craft Vision > Draft Mission Statement > Choose Core Values > Create a

  Balanced Score Card

• Empathize > Define > Ideate > Prototype > Test > Evaluate

• Identify Decision > Gather Data > Identify Options > Weight Evidence >

  Choose the Best Option > Take Action > Review Decision

How many percent of the strategic plans made at strategic planning

workshops normally get executed?

• 100%

• 75%

• 50%

• 25%

An example of threats as external factors affecting your organization are as

follows EXCEPT:

• staff motivation is low

• annual floods during the monsoon season

• conflicts and wars in other countries

• China’s Wuhan Virus

PESTLE Analysis is carried out when the leadership team wants to find out:

• The Internal and External factors that affect the organization

• The six significant External factors affecting the organization

• The drivers that could change behaviors of public in a change journey

• The elements that drive business results in any organization

The present global environment post pandemic has moved from ……………………

world to the …………………….. world.

• BANI to VUCA

• VUCA to BANI

• Analogue to Digital

• Manual to Artificial Intelligence

Futures Thinking and Scenario Planning work best together because of the

following reasons:

• Test different assumptions

• Create a vision board for PPUM

• Seek shareholders’ financial investment on projects

• Identify strategies, policies and actions

The following are the advantages of carrying out Futures Thinking Analysis and

Scenario Planning EXCEPT:

• The ability to perceive and respond to change

• The ability to prevent Covid19 pandemic

• The ability to plan for Learning & Growth in PPUM’s Balanced Score Card

• The ability to present and influence PPUM’s Stakeholders