Flattening Yield Curve Won't Influence Powell, Says AB's Winograd

The video discusses the current economic climate, focusing on trade tensions and their potential impact on the economy. It highlights the uncertainty surrounding the effects of these tensions and the role of the Federal Reserve in monitoring the situation. The discussion then shifts to interest rates and the inverted yield curve, a historical indicator of recessions. The video examines the implications of an inverted yield curve on Fed policy and the economy, emphasizing the need for careful analysis beyond traditional signals.

What historical correlation is mentioned regarding the yield curve and policy rates?

What factors should the Fed consider beyond the inverted yield curve when assessing the economy?