TED-Ed: Check your intuition: The birthday problem - David Knuffke

TED-Ed: Check your intuition: The birthday problem - David Knuffke

Assessment

Interactive Video

Mathematics

KG - University

Hard

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The video explores the birthday problem, which shows that in a group of 23 people, there's a 50.73% chance that two people share the same birthday. This counterintuitive result is explained using combinatorics, focusing on calculating the probability of no shared birthdays and then subtracting from 100%. The video highlights the rapid growth of possible pairs as group size increases, making shared birthdays more likely. It concludes with real-world examples, illustrating how math can reveal unexpected probabilities.

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7 questions

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1.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What is the minimum group size needed to have a greater than 50% chance of two people sharing a birthday?

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2.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

Explain why our intuition about the birthday problem is often incorrect.

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3.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

Describe the method used to calculate the probability of no birthday matches in a group.

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4.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What is the probability that at least one birthday match occurs in a group of 23 people?

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5.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

How does the number of possible pairs in a group relate to the probability of a birthday match?

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6.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

How many possible pairs are there in a group of 10 people?

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7.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What does the birthday problem illustrate about coincidences in probability?

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