Deutsche Bank Economists See Fed Cutting Rates at Next Four Meetings

The transcript discusses expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 100 basis points through the first quarter of next year due to trade developments and potential recession risks. It compares the US policy rate with global peers and highlights the impact of trade uncertainty on economic indicators. The discussion also covers potential outcomes of trade deals and the risks of further escalation leading to a recession. The impact of tariffs and trade uncertainty on GDP is also analyzed.

What are the implications of a potential trade deal before the 2020 election?

How might the Fed respond if tariffs are implemented in December?