CLEAN: Koreas: 'chances of escalation are low' says analyst

The transcript discusses the low likelihood of a full-scale war due to careful signaling by both sides to avoid conflict, despite provocations. It highlights the potential for miscalculation, especially with deteriorating communication. The situation may worsen without a change in government. China is unlikely to impose strong punitive measures on North Korea, fearing counterproductive outcomes. The transfer of power to Kim Jong-un is also mentioned as a factor in North Korea's actions.

What role does China play in the context of North Korea's military provocations?

In what ways could internal pressures influence North Korea's military actions?