CLEAN : Lesotho's PM set for defeat: analyst

The transcript discusses the formation of an opposition coalition likely to form the government, with the election determining the margin of victory rather than the winner. Mississippi delayed signing a pledge to accept election results due to international and domestic pressure. The conclusion suggests a certain individual is unlikely to emerge victorious.

How does the text describe the likelihood of the opposition coalition forming the government?

What does the phrase 'margin of victory' refer to in the context of the election?