U.S. Is 'Code Red' for Recession, Inventor of the Yield Curve Signal Says

The video discusses the significance of inverted yield curves as indicators of economic recessions, drawing from historical data and the speaker's dissertation. It explores the current economic climate, debates whether yield curve inversions signal recessions or slower growth, and examines global economic concerns. The video also addresses misconceptions about yield curve signals and emphasizes the importance of using these signals for planning and risk management to mitigate potential recession impacts.

What does the speaker suggest about the relationship between the Fed's balance sheet and the yield curve?

How does the speaker view the potential for a recession based on current indicators?

In what ways can the awareness of yield curve signals help mitigate the effects of a recession?