How Many 2019 Fed Hikes Would Follow a Trade Deal?

The video discusses the potential impact of a trade deal on interest rate hikes, suggesting that a deal might lead to a March hike. It highlights the ongoing clash between rate hikes and balance sheet reduction, noting the Fed's position. The discussion covers the implications of a trade deal with China, including tariff decisions and the possibility of two more rate hikes in 2019. The video also addresses market assumptions, suggesting that expectations of a rate cut might be premature.

In what way does the author believe the trade war is affecting economic forecasts?

What does the author suggest about the market's expectations regarding rate cuts?