Abramowitz on Georgia Indictment, Voter Sentiment in 2024

The video discusses the potential impact of moving Donald Trump's trial to federal court, which could change the jury pool and possibly favor him. It explores voter sentiment in Georgia, highlighting the contradiction of supporting both local Republican leaders and Trump. The discussion includes the dynamics of Republican support in Georgia, noting that Trump-backed candidates often underperform. The challenges of election forecasting, especially with close popular vote margins, are examined. The video also considers how Trump's indictments might drive voter turnout for both parties, with Georgia being a key state in the 2024 elections.

What is one potential outcome of moving Donald Trump's case to a federal court?

• The trial would be delayed indefinitely.

• The charges would be increased.

• The case would be dismissed.

• The jury pool could be more favorable to Trump.

How do Brad Raffensperger and Brian Kemp's views differ from those of Donald Trump?

• They are aligned with Trump's policies.

• They focus on future elections rather than past claims.

• They support Trump's claims about the election.

• They believe the 2020 election was stolen.

What is a notable trend among Republican voters in Georgia regarding Trump?

• They only support Trump in presidential elections.

• They support Trump more than local leaders.

• They overwhelmingly reject Trump.

• They show support for both Trump and local Republican leaders.

What is expected if Trump is the Republican candidate in 2024?

• He will switch parties.

• He will not participate in the election.

• He will run behind other Republican candidates.

• He will win by a large margin.

How might Trump's presence on the ticket affect Democratic voter turnout?

• It will cause Democrats to support Trump.

• It will have no effect on Democratic turnout.

• It will decrease Democratic turnout.

• It will motivate Democrats to vote against Trump.

What is a challenge in forecasting elections with a narrow popular vote margin?

• Predicting the winner of the popular vote.

• Predicting a split between the popular and electoral vote.

• Predicting voter turnout.

• Predicting the winner of the electoral vote.

What historical event is mentioned as an example of a split between the popular and electoral vote?

• The 1996 election.

• The 2008 election.

• The 2012 election.

• The 2000 election.