If Polls Were Wrong in 2016, Can We Trust Them in 2020? Why Polls are More Reliable - TLDR News

The video discusses the high levels of anxiety in both political camps during the 2020 election, focusing on polling accuracy and its evolution since 2016. It highlights the errors in state polling in 2016, particularly the underestimation of Trump due to educational factors. The video explains how 2020 polling has improved by accounting for educational weighting and emphasizes the importance of state polls over national ones. It also examines voting trends, such as early voting and fewer undecided voters, and considers the potential impact of these factors on the election outcome.

What was a major issue with the 2016 state polls?

• They underestimated Trump's support

• They were more accurate than national polls

• They underestimated Clinton's support

• They overestimated Trump's support

What was a significant factor that led to polling errors in the 2016 election?

• Inaccurate national polls

• High voter turnout

• Late deciders

• Educational demographics

How did the educational divide affect the 2016 election polling?

• Pollsters ignored age demographics

• Pollsters underrepresented voters without a college education

• Pollsters overrepresented college-educated voters

• Pollsters focused too much on gender

What change in polling methodology was emphasized for the 2020 election?

• More frequent polling

• Ignoring demographic factors

• Improved educational weighting

• Increased focus on national polls

Why is early voting considered significant in the 2020 election?

• It reduces the number of undecided voters

• It increases the number of undecided voters

• It favors the incumbent president

• It has no impact on the election outcome

What is a notable difference between the 2016 and 2020 elections?

• Higher number of undecided voters in 2020

• More polling errors in 2020

• Lower voter turnout in 2020

• More stable race in 2020

What is a potential factor that could still affect the 2020 election outcome?

• A significant swing in undecided voters

• A new educational divide

• Unexpected events or issues

• A sudden increase in voter turnout