CFR's Mallaby Sees 50% Base Case for Brexit Extension

The transcript discusses the political landscape in the UK regarding Brexit, focusing on potential outcomes and the internal dynamics of the Conservative and Labour parties. It highlights the likelihood of extending the Brexit deadline, the possibility of a no-deal exit, and the challenges faced by both parties in achieving unity. The Conservative Party may show unexpected cohesion, while the Labour Party struggles with internal divisions, particularly concerning Jeremy Corbyn's leadership and stance on Brexit.

What is the most likely outcome for the Brexit deadline according to the speaker?

• Brexit will be canceled.

• The deadline will be extended.

• The UK will crash out without a deal.

• A new referendum will be held.

Which group within the Conservative Party is mentioned as potentially supporting Prime Minister May?

• The Green Party

• The European Research Group

• The Labour Party

• The Liberal Democrats

How many Conservative MPs are consistently voting against their government?

• 60 or 70

• 150 or 160

• 100 or 110

• 200 or 210

What is the main issue causing division within the Labour Party?

• The party's stance on climate change

• Jeremy Corbyn's stance on Brexit

• The party's economic policies

• The leadership election process

What does the speaker predict about the future unity of the Conservative Party?

• They will split into two separate parties.

• They will become more united over time.

• They will lose significant support.

• They will merge with the Labour Party.