Assessing the Health of the Chinese Markets

The video discusses the current state of the Asian market, highlighting a notable derating since June due to emerging market currency tumbles. Despite solid earnings growth, there are concerns about potential downside risks, especially with the ongoing trade war. A survey on the Shanghai Composite suggests possible upside in the fourth quarter, though analysts have underestimated trade war risks. The video also covers earnings trends, noting a stabilization despite earlier downward revisions, and the limited impact of trade on MSCI China's revenue.

What has been the trend in market valuations in Asia since June?

• Unchanged

• Significant increase

• Notable derating

• Stable growth

What is the median forecast for the Shanghai Composite by the end of 2018?

• 2850

• 2900

• 2950

• 3000

What factor did analysts underestimate throughout the year?

• Earnings growth

• Interest rates

• Trade war risks

• Currency stability

What is the expected impact of tariffs on earnings?

• Significant increase

• Sharp decline

• No impact

• Modest decline

What percentage of MSCI China's revenue is linked to trade?

• 3%

• 15%

• 5%

• 10%