Major: Fair Value for Gilt Yields Nearer to 1% Than 0.5%

The video discusses the recent trends in UK gilt yields, highlighting the impact of Brexit and quantitative easing (QE) on bond markets. It explores the potential for fiscal policy changes and their effects on market valuations. The speaker emphasizes the challenges of forecasting bond yields amidst economic uncertainties, particularly in the context of Brexit. The discussion extends to global bond markets, including US Treasurys, and the importance of considering various economic scenarios in forecasting.

What was the initial impact of the Brexit vote on UK gilt yields?

• Gilt yields increased to 1.5%

• Gilt yields increased to 2%

• Gilt yields decreased to 0.5%

• Gilt yields remained unchanged

Which factor is NOT mentioned as influencing gilt yields in the second section?

• Global oil prices

• Infrastructure projects

• Fiscal policy changes

• Quantitative easing

What is the main challenge in forecasting gilt yields according to the third section?

• Fluctuating interest rates

• Inconsistent government policies

• Uncertainty in Brexit timeline

• Lack of historical data

How does the speaker suggest handling the uncertainty in gilt yield forecasts?

• By using a simple model

• By ignoring external factors

• By considering various scenarios

• By frequently changing forecasts

What was the speaker's forecast for US Treasurys after Brexit?

• 1.30%

• 1.60%

• 1.70%

• 1.50%