Escalation of Trade War Compounds Uncertainty: Aberdeen

The video discusses the effects of the trade war on the US and China, highlighting potential GDP declines and stock market corrections. It explores various economic scenarios, emphasizing the importance of assumptions in predicting outcomes. The discussion extends to the global economic impact, noting that while a recession is unlikely, confidence and investment may be affected. The video also examines how corporate confidence and investment plans are influenced by economic uncertainty, including factors like Brexit and political instability. Overall, it stresses the need for cautious business decisions in a volatile economic environment.

What is the expected impact on America's GDP due to the trade war?

• A 20% decline

• A 10-15% decline

• No change

• A 5% increase

What is the most reliable aspect of the economic impact timeline discussed?

• The effect on inflation

• The impact on supply chains

• The timeline of the greatest drop

• The assumptions used

How does the trade war affect global GDP according to the discussion?

• It will be a headwind with unpredictable effects

• It will boost global GDP

• It will lead to a global recession

• It will have no impact

What is the current state of corporate confidence in Europe?

• Very high

• Not particularly high

• Moderate

• Non-existent

What is a potential consequence of a chief executive sitting on cash due to uncertainty?

• Decreased inflation

• Increased hiring

• More investments

• A shooting up of prices and inflation