Schwarzman Expects the Unexpected in US Presidential Politics

The transcript discusses the unpredictability and volatility in American politics, particularly at the presidential level. It highlights how unexpected leaders, like Barack Obama and Donald Trump, emerged despite initial predictions. The conversation also touches on public opinion regarding older candidates, with a survey indicating a lack of interest in President Biden running again. Overall, the discussion emphasizes the dynamic nature of political landscapes and the potential for unforeseen changes.

What example does the speaker use to illustrate the emergence of unexpected political leaders?

• The appointment of a Supreme Court Justice

• The impeachment of a president

• Barack Obama's rise to the presidency

• The election of George W. Bush

According to the speaker, what is a characteristic of American presidential politics?

• Volatility

• Predictability

• Stability

• Transparency

Which political figure's unexpected success is highlighted by the speaker?

• Hillary Clinton

• Rudy Giuliani

• Jeb Bush

• Donald Trump

What does the speaker suggest about public interest in older political figures?

• It remains unchanged

• It is increasing

• It is decreasing

• It is irrelevant

What does the speaker imply might happen when public sentiment is against older candidates?

• The election will be postponed

• There will be no change in political outcomes

• Unexpected political outcomes may occur

• The older candidates will always win