How Many 2019 Fed Hikes Would Follow a Trade Deal?

The video discusses the potential impact of a trade deal on interest rate hikes, suggesting that a deal might lead to a March hike. It highlights the ongoing clash between rate hikes and balance sheet reduction, noting the Fed's position. The discussion covers the implications of a trade deal with China, including tariff decisions and the possibility of two more rate hikes in 2019. The video also addresses market assumptions, suggesting that expectations of a rate cut might be premature.

What might a trade deal lead to in terms of interest rate hikes?

• A rate cut in March

• No change in rates

• Immediate rate hike

• A March rate hike

What is the ongoing clash mentioned in the first section?

• Stock market fluctuations and inflation

• Trade tariffs and currency exchange

• Interest rate hikes and balance sheet reduction

• Trade agreements and economic growth

What does the US decide regarding tariffs in the trade deal scenario?

• To remove all tariffs

• Not to escalate tariffs

• To maintain current tariffs

• To increase tariffs

How many rate hikes are penciled in for 2019 according to the transcript?

• Three rate hikes

• No rate hikes

• Two rate hikes

• One rate hike

What is the market's stance on US rates for the next year?

• Expecting a rate hike

• Expecting multiple rate hikes

• Expecting a rate cut

• Expecting no change