Yale's Robert Shiller Sees Room to Run for Trump Bump

The video discusses the impact of consumer optimism and the Trump effect on the economy, highlighting the importance of the Cape ratio in market forecasting. It explores the potential effects of fiscal stimulus and the uncertainty surrounding Trump's policies. The video concludes with investment advice, emphasizing caution due to high Cape ratios and the unpredictability of market timing.

What is one potential effect of Trump's presidency on consumer behavior?

• Increased consumer optimism

• Decreased consumer spending

• Increased consumer debt

• Decreased employment rates

What does the Cape ratio primarily measure?

• Interest rates

• Consumer confidence levels

• Earnings over a 10-year period

• Short-term stock market trends

How does the current Cape ratio compare to historical levels?

• It is lower than in 1929

• It is at an all-time low

• It is higher than in 1997

• It is similar to 1997

What is a potential consequence if Trump's fiscal policies do not succeed?

• A rising stock market

• A declining stock market

• Stable interest rates

• Increased employment

What advice is given to investors regarding market timing?

• Invest only in bonds

• Invest all funds immediately

• Avoid the stock market entirely

• Stay partly invested and be cautious