The Fed Will Get Back to Neutral Says Mulholland of TJM Investments

The video discusses recent trade breakthroughs and economic indicators, highlighting the negative US Economic Surprise Index and Germany's positive figures. It examines the dollar's weakness since Trump's presidency and market expectations regarding the Fed's dovish stance. The video also covers the treasury market, predicting future Fed rate hikes and a return to neutral Fed funds, with implications for the yield curve.

What was the recent trend in the US Economic Surprise Index?

• Unchanged for the US

• Neutral for the US

• Negative for the US

• Positive for the US

Which country's economic figures were higher than expected?

• United States

• Italy

• China

• Germany

Since Trump took office, how has the dollar performed?

• It has strengthened significantly

• It has remained stable

• It has fluctuated without a clear trend

• It has declined

What is the expected neutral Fed funds rate according to the discussion?

• 2% to 2.5%

• 2.75% to 3%

• 3.5% to 4%

• 1% to 1.5%

What is the Federal Reserve's current stance on monetary policy?

• Neutral

• Restrictive

• Accommodative

• Hawkish