Ceasefire Will Transition to a New Kind of Conflict

The transcript discusses the transition to a new conflict involving Hamas and Israel, highlighting the exhaustion of Hamas' deterrence capabilities and potential future paths for the group. It compares the current situation to the 1967 conflict, noting Israel's military gains but questioning the sustainability of peace. The return of Trump is analyzed for its impact on Middle East dynamics, with potential for rapid escalation and de-escalation.

What is the main reason Israel can act unilaterally in the Gaza Strip?

• International support for Israel.

• Israel's new military technology.

• Hamas's rocket arsenal is exhausted.

• Hamas's internal conflicts.

What is one potential path for Hamas's adaptation?

• Joining the United Nations.

• Establishing a new government in exile.

• Forming alliances with Western countries.

• Becoming an insurgency within Gaza.

How does the current conflict compare to the 1967 war for Israel?

• Israel has faced a major economic crisis.

• Israel has gained new allies.

• Israel has weakened its regional adversaries.

• Israel has lost significant territory.

What is a potential outcome of the 'cold peace' Israel might enter?

• A new economic partnership with Iran.

• A security crisis in the West Bank.

• A complete withdrawal from Gaza.

• A peace treaty with Hezbollah.

How might the return of the Trump administration affect Middle East dynamics?

• It will result in increased economic sanctions.

• It will strengthen Iran's position.

• It will cause rapid escalation and de-escalation.

• It will lead to immediate peace talks.

What is a belief about Trump's approach to conflicts?

• He prefers long, drawn-out wars.

• He escalates and de-escalates quickly.

• He avoids any military involvement.

• He focuses solely on economic measures.

What role did Steve Witkoff play in the Middle East deal?

• He was the main negotiator.

• He played an active role as the Middle East envoy.

• He opposed the deal.

• He was not involved at all.