Mashreq's Kettlewell: Yields Likely to Trend Higher in 1Q

The video discusses the potential for rate hikes and balance sheet runoff by the Fed, analyzing market reactions and predictions. It highlights current market conditions, potential stock corrections, and challenges in the bond market. The performance of US Treasuries and emerging markets is also examined, with insights into long-duration positions and ETF outflows.

What is the speaker's view on the likelihood of more than three rate hikes?

• The speaker doubts more than three hikes will occur.

• The speaker believes more than three hikes are likely.

• The speaker thinks there will be no hikes at all.

• The speaker is certain there will be exactly four hikes.

What is a major concern for the markets according to the speaker?

• The increase in oil prices.

• The reduction of the Fed's balance sheet.

• The rise in unemployment rates.

• The decline in housing market.

How does the speaker describe the Fed's recent stance?

• Unexpectedly dovish.

• Predictably cautious.

• Consistently neutral.

• Unexpectedly hawkish.

What does the speaker suggest about stock corrections?

• They are unprecedented and alarming.

• They are expected and not a big worry.

• They will lead to a market crash.

• They are unlikely to happen.

What is the speaker's outlook on emerging markets over the year?

• They will likely face consecutive losses.

• They will outperform US Treasuries.

• They are expected to perform positively.

• They will remain stagnant.

Which part of the US Treasury curve does the speaker favor?

• The short end.

• The entire curve equally.

• The middle end.

• The long end.

What is the expected impact of Fed rate hikes on the economy according to the speaker?

• They will lead to immediate economic growth.

• They indicate a lack of confidence in the economy.

• They are a sign of confidence in the economy.

• They will have no impact on the economy.