Strategic Foresight Session 1

What does VUCA stand for?

• Vulnerable, Unstable, Confusing, Ambivalent

• Volatile, Unpredictable, Complex, Ambiguous

• Vibrant, Unstoppable, Courageous, Ambitious

• Visionary, Unprecedented, Creative, Adaptive

What is the concept of 'educated incapacity' in strategic foresight?

• The ability to learn new skills quickly

• The skill of adapting to changing circumstances

• The capacity to make informed decisions based on past experiences

• The tendency to discount new information that contradicts existing knowledge

What is the difference between complexity and complication?

• Complexity is the natural order of things, while complication is what we do to ourselves

• Complexity is static, while complication is dynamic

• Complexity is the result of overthinking, while complication is the result of simplicity

• Complexity is easy to understand, while complication is difficult to comprehend

What is the 'pull of the future' in the context of strategic foresight?

• The trends and emerging issues that are pushing us towards the future

• The aspiration or vision that we are trying to move towards

• The inability to adapt to new circumstances

• The resistance to change in the present

What is the main focus of the 'discover' phase in the natural foresight framework?

• Creating multiple maps of the future

• Scanning the external environment for trends

• Challenging assumptions and biases

• Understanding how to fuel organizations with foresight

Why are trends considered to be just the beginning in strategic foresight?

• Because they are already part of the present

• Because they need to be analyzed for value shifts and implications

• Because they do not provide valuable insights

• Because they are often misleading

What is the primary goal of the 'mapping' phase in the natural foresight framework?

• To create a single map of the future

• To predict the exact future outcomes

• To ignore the impact of emerging issues

• To mine all potential futures for better decisions in the present

What does the 'create' phase in the natural foresight framework focus on?

• Scanning the external environment for trends

• Understanding how to fuel organizations with foresight

• Challenging thought processes around value creation and measurement

• Creating multiple maps of the future

What is the main purpose of strategic foresight according to the text?

• To predict the future accurately

• To focus on the future only

• To challenge biases and assumptions for better decision-making in the present

• To ignore the impact of emerging issues

What is the natural foresight framework based on?

• A linear approach to decision-making

• The natural growth curves or s-curves

• A series of steps for strategic planning

• A static and rigid process